Luni 31August2009

Joi ora 6PM

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Valul 4

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Formatia este la sfarsit de trend crescator, valul 4 fiind valul care strapunge formatia prin linia de suport formata din punctele 1 si 3, astfel triunghiul fiind un triunghi simetric de inversare a trendului.

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EUR/USD:Poate fi considerat un triunghi simetric?

Se creeaza o formatie din maxime si minime pe timeframe-ul H4 care pare a fi un triunghi simetric.

• strapungerea se face la 1/3 de la varf
• strapungerea se incadreaza in zona 1/2 si 3/4 de la baza
• formatia are 4 puncte adica 2 maxime si 2 minime

Prezenta doar a 3 valuri inloc de 5 este singura caracteristica lipsa. Inaltimea formatiei este de 438 de pips, pretul a parcurs deja 93 de pips dupa strapungere, dar au mai ramas inca 345 de pips , un profit bun daca ma intrebati pe mine.

Strapungerea a fost miercuri(19 August), dar pretul este in zona nivelului care a fost rezistenta pe data de 13August ora 12:00(London time) si suport pe data de 6August ora 16:00(London time), asadar nivel important.

MACD este in zona de buy, mediile mobile 55 si 13 sunt intersectate in zona de buy, doar RSI`ul este aproape de valoarea in care perechea valutara ar fi supracumparata, dar daca pretul ramane luni desupra acestui nivel important de 1,4327 sunt tentat sa cumpar pentru acel target de 345 de pips profit.

Acum cer opinia voastra daca aceasta formatie trebuie luata in considerare avand in vedere ca una din caracteristici lipseste.

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Vineri 14 August

Vineri perechea valutara eur/usd a esuat sa strapunga pentru a treia oara, nivelul 61.8 al proiectiei Fibonacci pe timeframe-ul de 4 ore , cu nivelul 100 in maximul lumanarii la ora 18:00 din data de 5august si nivelul 0 in minimul lumanarii la ora 10:00 din data de 12august, asadar cea mai buna pozitie de vanzare se putea deschide la ora 15:30 la rata de conversie valutara 1,4288 cu un stoploss de 22 pips(1,4310) si ca prima tinta un takeprofit de 44pips(1.4244) si ca tinta finala care inca nu a fost atintsa nivelul 0 al proiectiei Fibonacci cu un takeprofit de 200pips(1.4088).

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Ce Credeti despre noile reguli pentru conturile de retail din USA?

Ce credeti despre noile reguli pentru conturile forex deschise prin companii de brokeraj americane, create de regulatorul de piata din USA ( National Futures Association ), si mai ales ce credeti daca se vor impune si in europa ?!

http://www.tradingacademy.com/lesson...ex_article.htm

,, This week's article will review some of the new regulations affecting retail Forex traders with accounts in the US that are scheduled to take effect in August, 2009. The approval of Compliance Rule 2-43(b) became effective in November, 2008, but parts of the ruling are still being implemented over time to allow for changes to Forex trading platform software. This piece of the new regulation is designed to protect the US retail Forex trader from practices that the NFA (National Futures Association) has determined have no economic benefit to the trader such as the ability to hedge a position by going long and short the same currency pair in the same account. According to the NFA, this type of hedging increases the customer's financial costs by doubling the expense of entering and exiting positions. In addition, if the customer holds positions overnight, the differences in the interest rate rollover calculations will cost customers additional money over time if they are short high yield currencies. Several of the NFA Forex Dealer Members (FDMs) have admitted that customers receive no financial benefit by carrying opposite positions, but the FDMs believe that if they do not offer the strategy they will lose business to domestic and foreign firms that do. Several US Forex brokers have reacted to this ruling by encouraging their customers to open accounts with their overseas affiliates in order to continue to execute this hedging strategy. Other Forex brokers have made it harder for their customers to place protective stop loss orders and profit orders to protect positions. Many argue that their software still does not allow for First in, First out (FIFO) order executions. Below is an explanation of what FIFO is, and how one broker suggested their customers place protective orders in response to the ruling:
How to use Stops & Limits after July 31
Dear Client:
Please note that you will be able to use entry orders to place stops and limits after July 31, 2009. Entry orders provide the ability to realize profits and cut losses.
USING ENTRY ORDERS FOR STOP-LOSS AND LIMITS AFTER JULY 31, 2009:
For Buy Positions: Placing an entry order to sell below the price where you got into the position protects you from additional losses. Placing an entry order to sell above the price where you got in locks in profits.
For example, if you have a BUY EUR/USD position at 1.3900, you could place:
a stop-loss using a sell entry order (Stop Entry, SE) at 1.3800
OR
a limit using a sell entry order (Limit Entry, LE) at 1.4000.
For Sell Positions: Placing an entry order to buy above the price where you got in protects you from additional losses. Placing an entry order to buy below the price where you got in locks in profits.
For example, if you have a SELL EUR/USD position at 1.3900, you could place:
a stop-loss by using a buy entry order (Stop Entry, SE) at 1.4000
OR
a limit using a buy entry order (Limit Entry, LE) at 1.3800.
"The National Futures Association (NFA), which is the Forex industry's self regulatory organization in the United States, has informed all Forex Dealer Members (FDM) that it has adopted new Compliance Rule 2-43(b) regarding Forex trading. This rule requires orders be executed on a First In, First Out (FIFO) basis. FIFO requires that when multiple positions are held in the same currency pair, the position which was first opened will be the first to be closed. This will prevent stop-loss and limit orders from being placed on individual tickets (orders and positions).The NFA's stance is that FIFO provides more transparency to customers, offering a more accurate picture of the customer's overall profit and loss (P/L) than viewing the results of individual positions. The application of this rule brings the Forex market more in line with the practices of the Futures and equities markets.
FXCM has always encouraged active risk management through the use of stop-loss and limit orders. The stop and limit orders that have been available through the Open Positions window are two entry orders that are linked to an individual open position. If a stop or limit order is triggered, the other is canceled. FXCM has introduced a new feature called OCO (One Cancels the Other) entry orders, which will provide traders with the same functionality as they have been accustomed, except that they are not linked to any positions."
As a result of the changes beginning this month, anyone with a US Forex account should check to see how their broker is going to comply with the new rules, and what changes to the current method of order entries will be made, if any. It is assumed that every Forex broker has contacted their clients to advise them as to any changes by this time. However, if you have any questions or concerns after reading this article, the trader should contact their broker directly, and ask about Compliance Rule 2-43(b).
The NFA has a website that every Forex trader should visit for more information about their broker. Any Forex broker that is an NFA member has to meet high standards including a large minimum capital requirement to do business. "

VIneri 31 Iulie

In ultima zi de tranzactionare din aceasta saptamana , lira sterlina(cable) a castigat teren in fata dolarului iesind din canalul 1,6076(suport) - 1,6590(rezistenta) in care rata de schimb oscila de mai bine de 60 de zile.

In sedinta de tranzactionare de luni se asteapta o corectie a raliului din ultimele doua zile de pe aceasta pereche valutara, iar daca aceasta corectie nu depaseste pragul de 1,6590 , prag devenit acum suport, atunci urmatoarea tinta a pretului ar fi 1,73 , nivelul 50 al proiectiei fibonacci pe timeframe-ul weekly cu nivelul 100 in maximul saptamanii care incepe pe 4.11.2007 , si nivelul 0 in minimul saptamanii care incepe in 18.01.2009 .

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Perechea valutara eurodolar are o formatiune triunghi simetric pe graficul de zile, acest triunghi fiind un semnal fals datorita faptului ca strapungerea nu a fost inte 2/3 din lungimea inaltimei acestui triunghi si 1/4 , dar trebuie urmarit datorita perioadei lungi de formare(270zile).In cazul in care acesta formatiune se forma corect cel mai probabil ar fi trebuit sa strapunga linia de rezistenta formata din maxime in scadere, in data de 2 iunie a.c.

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Daca corectia de luni pentru raliul din ultimele doua zile de pe aceasta pereche valutara se mentine deasupra linieri de rezistenta acum devenita suport, atunci tinta pretului ar fi nivelul de 61,8 al proiectiei fibonacci pe graficul saptamanal cu nivelul 0 in maximul saptamanei care incepe cu data de 13.07.2008 si nivelul 100 in minimul saptamanei care incepe cu data de 26.10.2008 , cu toate ca s-ar putea intampina rezitenta la pragul de 1,4330

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